Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.602611 0.785325 0.992696 1.242355 1.531685 1.853508 2.235571
2025-04-06 0.356227 0.579297 0.867953 1.254348 1.743901 2.330289 3.072344
2025-04-13 0.194654 0.411217 0.734702 1.215088 1.874361 2.714396 3.832284
2025-04-20 0.110091 0.310766 0.657479 1.223249 2.053492 3.164296 4.699682
2025-04-27 0.060264 0.238093 0.595985 1.234207 2.227456 3.611616 5.584187
2025-05-04 0.026983 0.169586 0.514892 1.192744 2.312175 3.934746 6.314056
2025-05-11 0.009763 0.117659 0.441865 1.144508 2.372967 4.219145 6.996251
2025-05-18 0.003346 0.089011 0.405350 1.150971 2.515105 4.622809 7.854345
2025-05-25 0.000497 0.061000 0.353704 1.114569 2.577716 4.905880 8.546775
2025-06-01 0.000072 0.051931 0.351915 1.179176 2.816162 5.464052 9.650156
2025-06-08 NaN 0.038314 0.325364 1.183125 2.944807 5.854495 10.517528
2025-06-15 NaN 0.034881 0.335612 1.272695 3.233631 6.505928 11.784989
2025-06-22 NaN 0.029036 0.332566 1.332423 3.475804 7.099644 12.994918
2025-06-29 NaN 0.022019 0.317360 1.359171 3.657451 7.602985 14.083901
2025-07-06 NaN 0.013628 0.281894 1.324972 3.717478 7.908973 14.881696
2025-07-13 NaN 0.009365 0.265130 1.337452 3.868948 8.369517 15.924454
2025-07-20 NaN 0.006258 0.250127 1.351105 4.022074 8.835770 16.983842
2025-07-27 NaN 0.003021 0.219274 1.308018 4.052860 9.093734 17.723830
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001123 0.189184 1.257153 4.060665 9.309641 18.399845
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000500 0.177074 1.264315 4.193900 9.746317 19.431386
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000087 0.154538 1.225635 4.220695 9.994590 20.166274
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000052 0.159258 1.294596 4.496440 10.692805 21.633094
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000003 0.148733 1.298844 4.622263 11.124452 22.676985